UK Businesses still expect growth
From London to Lanarkshire, optimism is making a quiet comeback. Despite persistent inflation, rising costs, and global uncertainty, most UK SMEs are still predicting stronger turnover and profitability as 2025 enters its final quarter. According to Lloyds Bank’s latest Business Barometer, 70% of businesses expect turnover to increase. That’s a clear rise from 62% at the end of 2023 (Lloyds Banking Group, 2025).
This wave of confidence is echoed elsewhere. The Guardian reports that 73% of firms feel optimistic about profitability, a level of sentiment not seen in nearly a decade. Still, warning signs remain. A recent Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) survey found that 27% of SMEs expect to shrink, sell, or shut down. Just 25% are anticipating growth (The Times, 2025).
So the question is this: how do you ride the momentum while staying protected against risks?
What the Growth Outlook Means for SMEs
A Divided Landscape
Some sectors, especially retail, are riding high on consumer demand and rising real incomes (The Times, 2025). Others, particularly smaller firms facing tax strain, wage pressures, and rigid lending terms, are finding it harder to stay competitive.
This is the reality of two SME groups:
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One is actively investing and building for growth
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The other is holding back, managing risk, and reevaluating strategy
Knowing where your business stands is the first step toward choosing the right next move.
Why Optimism Still Holds Its Ground
Confidence Is Up Across Industries
Lloyds’ data shows business confidence at its highest point since 2015, with more sectors reporting positive trading outlooks.
SMEs Remain the Backbone of the UK Economy
With 99% of UK businesses classified as SMEs, contributing close to £2.8 trillion in turnover and employing around 60% of the private sector workforce (Gov.uk, 2024), their performance is central to national growth.
Stability Still Signals Strength
Not every business is booming, but 58% expect turnover to stay stable. In this volatile market, holding steady is a sign of resilience (ONS, 2025).
Four Practical Ways to Turn Optimism into Action
So what does this mean for your business, and how do you move from cautious hope to confident action before year-end?
1. Diagnose Where You Are
If your outlook is positive, identify what’s fueling it. Is it better demand, more efficient systems, or new contracts?
If you’re feeling uncertain, be honest about what’s holding you back. Is it cash flow, tax obligations, rising input costs, or limited credit?
Without clarity, there can be no direction.
2. Build a Growth Strategy While Conditions Are Right
If things are moving in the right direction, this is your window to act:
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Develop cash-flow forecasts that account for multiple scenarios
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Tap into R&D tax credits, innovation grants, or sector-specific support
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Adopt digital tools that cut manual work and increase output
3. Strengthen Your Defences
For businesses under strain, protection comes first:
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Review all cost centres and tighten up supplier terms
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Streamline operations to increase agility and preserve capital
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Explore flexible financing solutions that do not overburden your balance sheet
4. Use Professional Advice to Navigate Change
A good accountant or adviser is more than a compliance partner. They can help you plan, compare performance across your sector, and make decisions rooted in data instead of instinct.
At Benson Wood & Co, this is exactly what we do: give business owners the clarity to move forward with purpose.
As summer winds down, the growth story for UK SMEs remains mixed. Three out of four expect progress. One in four is planning for contraction or closure. Optimism is a powerful thing, but it only pays off if backed by smart planning, financial discipline, and decisive leadership.
By understanding where you stand, investing where it counts, managing your risk, and using the right advice, you can stay in the lead, not fall behind.
At Benson Wood & Co, we don’t just help you keep up. We help you move ahead with confidence and clarity.